Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WINSTON-SALEM (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: WINSTON-SALEM (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:30	SportKlub
Bulgaria	01:30	Max Sport 1
Croatia	00:30	SportKlub
Germany	00:30	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	23:30	Sport TV3
Serbia	00:30	SportKlub
Slovenia	00:30	SportKlub


	Arthur Rinderknech		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.94	1.86
	2.01	1.82
	1.97	1.92
	2	1.8
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	1.97	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.15)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
47.9%

Dominic Thiem
52.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Rinderknech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Arthur Rinderknech - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Thiem will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Rinderknech is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Thiem is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Thiem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rinderknech won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Federico Gaio	Canceled ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
03.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
01.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Alexei Popyrin - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?LWW?
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Kitzbuhel
05.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Laslo Djere - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Facundo Bagnis - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
03.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1

Arthur Rinderknech - Dominic Thiem