Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.88	1.47
	2.76	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.82	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.07)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
35.1%

Arthur Rinderknech
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 50%). Rinderknech (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Cerundolo (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 3 - 60%). Rinderknech (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 70. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 28.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rinderknech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rinderknech might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Vit Kopriva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLLWW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
01.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2

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