Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Arthur Rinderknech		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.37
	3.15	1.33
	3.38	1.37
	3.3	1.33
	3.32	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.98)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
29.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Arthur Rinderknech - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Constant Lestienne - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
10.10.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
30.09.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
29.09.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
27.09.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Marius Copil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Thiago Monteiro - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
29.09.22	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
02.09.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
31.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Bublik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

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