Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday

Location: Grandstand (New York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.67	2.23
	1.69	2.18
	1.63	2.45
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.23 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
57.1%

Alex De Minaur
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	0%	14.7%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (81 of 95 users predict this - 85.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.13% – 92.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches De Minaur is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP US Open
31.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Bublik	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dominic Thiem	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
14.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
31.08.22	Christian Garin - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Filip Krajinovic - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
16.08.22	Henri Laaksonen - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
15.08.22	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Region of Valencia Men
06.06.20	Alex De Minaur - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.19	Alex De Minaur - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3

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