Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York)


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	2.88
	1.43	2.85
	1.43	3.08
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	2.88 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
66.9%

Karen Khachanov
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.9%	0%	27.1%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 51 - 72.9%). Khachanov will win (votes: 19 - 27.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 62.5% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 1.

Carreno Busta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
31.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Bublik	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dominic Thiem	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
14.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Karen Khachanov - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
31.08.22	Karen Khachanov - Thiago Monteiro	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Karen Khachanov - Denis Kudla	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
11.05.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
12.10.21	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.21	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
24.08.20	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Toronto
08.08.18	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	0:2
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
29.06.18	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	2:1

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