Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Tommy Paul		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.8
	1.46	2.71	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
65%

Reilly Opelka
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Tommy Paul aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Reilly Opelka aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Tommy Paul - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Opelka will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play ~ In: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 4.

Dijon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nanterre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dijon is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dijon to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dijon won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1566:1464 (average 78.3:73.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 804:733 (average 80.4:73.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.22%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Tommy Paul - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.25	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
18.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
16.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:3 ✺
12.01.25	Gauthier Onclin - Reilly Opelka	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Mariano Navone - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.05.20	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP Challenger
16.11.18	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	2:1

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