Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Reilly Opelka		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.86	2.04
	1.77	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.86	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.74)	2 (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
52.4%

Brandon Nakashima
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	0%	10.8%

Reilly Opelka - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Reilly Opelka will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 38. Tien is ranked ATP: 82.

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tien is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Tien to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.25	Christopher Eubanks - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Tommy Paul - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.25	James Kent Trotter - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sydney
13.01.22	Brandon Nakashima - Reilly Opelka	0:2
Exhibition Altec Styslinger Tennis Exhibition Men
01.07.20	Brandon Nakashima - Reilly Opelka	2:0

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