Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Kamilla Rakhimova

	1	2
	1.05	11	Watch
	1.04	9.75
	1.04	11
	1.06	14
	1.04	12.28	Watch
	1.02	12
	1.04	12.5	Watch
	1.04	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)	11.57 ↑ (8.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
91.7%

Kamilla Rakhimova
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.8%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kamilla Rakhimova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aryna Sabalenka - Kamilla Rakhimova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Rakhimova will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - under (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rakhimova is ranked WTA: 92.

Sabalenka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rakhimova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rakhimova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW
- Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
23.08.26	Maria Timofeeva - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Kamilla Rakhimova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
25.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0
WTA Washington
31.07.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.23	Kamilla Rakhimova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

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