Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 2
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Aryna Sabalenka		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.15	5.25
	1.14	5.32	Watch
	1.18	5.58
	1.16	5.17	Watch
	1.14	5.5
	1.15	5.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)	5.41 ↑ (4.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
82.5%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 30.

Sabalenka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Fernandez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Emma Raducanu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWW
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Rebecca Marino - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
09.09.21	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1

Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Annie Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide