What is the expert prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, August 27, 2025)

Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Italy	Super Tennis
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Aryna Sabalenka		Polina Kudermetova

	1	2
	1.03	15	Watch
	1.02	12
	1.03	12	Watch
	1.03	12.44	Watch
	1.04	11
	1.03	18	Watch
	1.03	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)	13.63 ↓ (21)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
93%

Polina Kudermetova
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

95.4%

4.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kudermetova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 67.

Sabalenka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kudermetova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sabalenka is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Emma Raducanu	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW
- Polina Kudermetova
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Polina Kudermetova	Parrizas-Diaz N. retired ✺
WTA Cleveland
19.08.25	Eva Lys - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Katrina Scott - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Polina Kudermetova - Ella Seidel	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
27.07.25	Suzan Lamens - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
05.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova	2:1

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