Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Linda Noskova

	1	2
	1.33	3.40	Watch
	1.33	3.40
	1.32	3.45
	1.37	3.48
	1.41	3	Watch
	1.34	3.40
	1.37	3.17	Watch
	1.30	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	3.33 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
71.2%

Linda Noskova
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Linda Noskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linda Noskova than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Aryna Sabalenka - Linda Noskova Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Noskova will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Noskova (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Noskova (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Noskova (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 40%). Noskova (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Noskova is ranked WTA: 6.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Sabalenka is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Aryna Sabalenka - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.86%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
06.09.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Linda Noskova
WTA US Open
06.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ann Li - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Katie Volynets - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Linda Noskova - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
13.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Linda Noskova	2:0
WTA Adelaide
08.01.23	Linda Noskova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

Aryna Sabalenka - Linda Noskova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide