Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Aryna Sabalenka		Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah

	1	2
	1	34	Watch
	1	20	Watch
	1	17.42	Watch
	1.01	34
	1	34	Watch
	1	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1 ↓ (1.02)	27.57 ↑ (15)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
96.5%

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.7%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rakotomanga Rajaonah will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 50%). Rakotomanga Rajaonah (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5 Games - Sabalenka (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 3 - 60%). Rakotomanga Rajaonah (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rakotomanga Rajaonah is ranked WTA: 118.

Sabalenka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rakotomanga Rajaonah has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rakotomanga Rajaonah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Brisbane
11.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.12.25	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Anastasija Sevastova	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Linda Klimovicova - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide