Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Ashleigh Barty		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.83	2.09
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.88	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	2.05 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashleigh Barty
53.2%

Aryna Sabalenka
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashleigh Barty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashleigh Barty than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	0%	57.9%

Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Barty will win (votes: 32 - 42.1%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 44 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 46.8% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barty is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashleigh Barty
WTA Madrid
06.05.21	Ashleigh Barty - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
05.05.21	Ashleigh Barty - Petra Kvitova	2:1 ✺
03.05.21	Ashleigh Barty - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
01.05.21	Ashleigh Barty - Tamara Zidansek	2:1 ✺
29.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Shelby Rogers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Madrid
06.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
05.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired ✺
04.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
30.04.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Vera Zvonareva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Stuttgart
25.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
WTA Miami
30.03.21	Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
WTA Wuhan
27.09.19	Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
20.04.19	Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0
WTA Zhuhai
30.10.18	Aryna Sabalenka - Ashleigh Barty	2:0
WTA Wuhan
28.09.18	Aryna Sabalenka - Ashleigh Barty	2:0
WTA Australian Open
16.01.18	Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1

Ashleigh Barty - Aryna Sabalenka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide