Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Ashlyn Krueger		Madison Keys

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.4	1.22	Watch
	4.14	1.23	Watch
	4	1.25
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.95)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashlyn Krueger
22.3%

Madison Keys
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashlyn Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Ashlyn Krueger - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Keys will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Krueger (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Keys (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Krueger (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Krueger (votes: 2 - 50%). Keys (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krueger is ranked WTA: 62. Keys is ranked WTA: 9.

Keys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Krueger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keys is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
09.01.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Dalma Galfi	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
04.01.26	Shuai Zhang - Ashlyn Krueger	2:1 ✺
WTA Tokyo
17.10.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Dalma Galfi	0:2 ✺
WTA Osaka
15.10.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Olga Danilovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Madison Keys
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
14.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Tereza Valentova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
08.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

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