Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Court Simonne-Mathieu (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Victoria Mboko		Madison Keys

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.88
	2	1.94
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.82	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.61)	1.93 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Victoria Mboko
50.4%

Madison Keys
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Mboko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria Mboko's form might have worsened.

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Keys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoria Mboko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Keys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	0%	30.6%

Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Mboko will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Keys will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mboko: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mboko (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Keys (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mboko is ranked WTA: 9. Keys is ranked WTA: 19.

Mboko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Keys is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mboko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mboko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Mboko
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
23.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Madison Keys
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Antonia Ruzic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
19.05.26	Madison Keys - Cristina Bucsa	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	Keys M. Retired ✺
16.05.26	Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WW??W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
14.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys	2:1

Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide