Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Aslan Karatsev		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.3
			Watch
	1.59	2.41
	1.57	2.46	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.55	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	2.34 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
59.7%

Bu Yunchaokete
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Aslan Karatsev - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karatsev is ranked ATP: 99. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 123.

Recent matches Karatsev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yunchaokete is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Borna Gojo - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

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