Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Aslan Karatsev		David Goffin

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.38	1.58
	2.32	1.56
	2.48	1.61
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.66	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.86)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
39.2%

David Goffin
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aslan Karatsev's form might have worsened.

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Goffin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for David Goffin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Aslan Karatsev - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (76 of 84 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.2% – 96.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatsev is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goffin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Goffin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Belgrade
21.04.22	Oscar Otte - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- David Goffin
ATP Madrid
01.05.22	Alejandro Tabilo - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	Jiri Vesely - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Belgrade
19.04.22	David Goffin - Filip Krajinovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
13.04.22	David Goffin - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Aslan Karatsev - David Goffin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide