Match Info

Date: 21 April 2022, Thursday


	Oscar Otte		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.48	1.54
	2.4	1.53
	2.61	1.56
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.6	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.54)	1.55 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oscar Otte
38.8%

Aslan Karatsev
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oscar Otte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	0%	72%

Oscar Otte - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Otte will win (votes: 14 - 28%). Karatsev will win (votes: 36 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 59.6% – 84.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Otte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Otte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Karatsev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Otte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oscar Otte
ATP Belgrade
19.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Oscar Otte - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Oscar Otte - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.22	Oscar Otte - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.09.20	Aslan Karatsev - Oscar Otte	2:0
02.11.15	Aslan Karatsev - Oscar Otte	2:0

Oscar Otte - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide