Match Info

Date: 28 March 2022, Monday


	Aslan Karatsev		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.41	Watch
	2.65	1.44
	3	1.44
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.1	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.48)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
33.1%

Hubert Hurkacz
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.2%	0%	86.8%

Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: Hubert Hurkacz will win (46 of 53 users predict this - 86.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.67% – 95.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Hurkacz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hurkacz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Miami
26.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
18.02.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
16.02.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Miami
26.03.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Steve Johnson - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
13.03.22	Oscar Otte - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP San Diego
30.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Aslan Karatsev	1:2

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