Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Alejandro Tabilo		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.74	2.21
	1.73	2.21	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.54)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
54.8%

David Goffin
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Goffin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for David Goffin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Alejandro Tabilo - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Goffin will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 21. Goffin is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent matches Tabilo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Goffin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tabilo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tabilo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.94%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- David Goffin
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.24	David Goffin - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
22.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Arthur Rinderknech - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	David Goffin - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	David Goffin - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
01.05.22	Alejandro Tabilo - David Goffin	0:2

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