Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Andrey Rublev		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.90	1.90	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.93	1.98
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.67)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
50.6%

Hubert Hurkacz
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrey Rublev's form might have worsened.

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hubert Hurkacz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 12 - 30.8%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 54.7% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 13. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 99.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 2.

Rublev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hurkacz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hurkacz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Andrey Rublev	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Nuno Borges - Andrey Rublev	0:3 ✺
27.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Jaume Munar - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Shanghai
15.10.23	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Dubai
25.02.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Miami
02.04.21	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Roma
17.09.20	Hubert Hurkacz - Andrey Rublev	2:1

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