Match Info

Date: 13 July 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	SportKlub
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Sport X
France	19:00	beIN Sports
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV
Serbia	19:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub


	Aslan Karatsev		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.71	2.14
	1.7	2.08
	1.73	2.24
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2)	2.17 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
56%

Hugo Gaston
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aslan Karatsev's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aslan Karatsev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.3%	0%	55.7%

Aslan Karatsev - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 27 - 44.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 34 - 55.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 43.2% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Bastad
12.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Daniil Medvedev - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
19.06.22	Jaume Munar - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.22	Aslan Karatsev - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
04.06.22	Aslan Karatsev - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Bastad
12.07.22	Hugo Gaston - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
28.06.22	Alexei Popyrin - Hugo Gaston	2:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
18.06.22	Hugo Gaston - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.22	Hugo Gaston - Tim Van Rijthoven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.02.20	Aslan Karatsev - Hugo Gaston	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	✺

Aslan Karatsev - Hugo Gaston