Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Alexei Popyrin		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.80	Watch
	1.44	2.93
	1.43	2.63	Watch
	1.43	2.90
	1.40	2.73	Watch
	1.41	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	2.77 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
66.2%

Hugo Gaston
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Alexei Popyrin - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 128. Gaston is ranked ATP: 97.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Popyrin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Popyrin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Raphael Collignon - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
25.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Tiago Torres - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Alexei Popyrin - Hugo Gaston	2:3

Alexei Popyrin - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide