Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Aslan Karatsev		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.63	1.51
	2.62	1.56
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.62	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.33)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
36.5%

Jiri Lehecka
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	0%	65.2%

Aslan Karatsev - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Lehecka will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Karatsev is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lehecka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lehecka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lehecka will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
31.07.23	Aslan Karatsev - Kiranpal Pannu	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Andrey Rublev - Aslan Karatsev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Sebastian Korda - Jiri Lehecka	Lehecka J. walkover ✺
24.08.23	Jiri Lehecka - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Jiri Lehecka - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
22.08.23	Jiri Lehecka - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 L?WWW

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