Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Sebastian Baez		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.46
	2.85	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.96	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.52)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
32.6%

Jiri Lehecka
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lehecka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 1 - 50%). Lehecka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Baez (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lehecka (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 53. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 23.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lehecka could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Jiri Lehecka - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.26	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Jaime Faria - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
04.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0
ITF Tournaments
20.09.20	Jiri Lehecka - Sebastian Baez	2:1

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