Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday


	Aslan Karatsev		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.13	1.69	Watch
	2.16	1.76
	2.12	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
45%

Mattia Bellucci
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Bellucci will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatsev is ranked ATP: 115. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 108.

Recent matches Karatsev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bellucci will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Bellucci to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Christopher OConnell	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
22.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide