Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HALLE (GERMANY) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - FINAL

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Aslan Karatsev		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.72	2.07
	1.74	2.15
	1.78	2.06
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.71	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.54)	2.1 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
55.1%

Roman Safiullin
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aslan Karatsev's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Aslan Karatsev - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Safiullin will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 25.1% – 83.9%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Karatsev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Halle
17.06.23	Aslan Karatsev - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
15.06.23	Aslan Karatsev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Corentin Moutet - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	1:3 ✺
29.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Aslan Karatsev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Halle
17.06.23	Roman Safiullin - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.23	Roman Safiullin - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Roman Safiullin - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.19	Aslan Karatsev - Roman Safiullin	2:0
21.01.19	Aslan Karatsev - Roman Safiullin	Safiullin R. retired

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