Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alexei Popyrin		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.14	1.71
	2.14	1.73
	2.21	1.75
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.69	Watch
	2.18	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
44%

Aslan Karatsev
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aslan Karatsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Alexei Popyrin - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Karatsev will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karatsev will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Karatsev to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roma
16.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.23	Aslan Karatsev - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
24.05.23	Aslan Karatsev - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
23.05.23	Aslan Karatsev - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
05.05.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
04.05.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Astana
26.10.20	Alexei Popyrin - Aslan Karatsev	0:2

Alexei Popyrin - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide