Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Roman Safiullin		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.4	1.63
	2.4	1.63
	2.3	1.62
	2.29	1.63	Watch
	2.4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
40.5%

Sebastian Korda
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Korda will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Korda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Safiullin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Korda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Tallon Griekspoor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Dubai
29.02.24	Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev	Korda S. retired ✺
28.02.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
08.02.24	Sebastian Korda - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
12.05.23	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda	2:0

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