Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Alexei Popyrin		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.88)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
53.6%

Roman Safiullin
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Safiullin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 26. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 71.

Two players are playing changeable.

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Christopher Eubanks - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
03.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Alexei Popyrin	2:1
ATP Roma
14.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	2:0
ATP Marseille
15.02.22	Roman Safiullin - Alexei Popyrin	2:1

Upcoming Matches