Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	August Holmgren		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.39	1.52	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.06)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
37.8%

Andrea Guerrieri
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Guerrieri's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

August Holmgren - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Guerrieri will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 245., and Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 164..

Recent results have been tough for Holmgren (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Guerrieri has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Holmgren could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Holmgren has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Benjamin Bonzi - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	August Holmgren - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	August Holmgren - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	August Holmgren - Braden Shick	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
27.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
24.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - August Holmgren	2:1

August Holmgren - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide