Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Aziz Dougaz		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.42	2.55	Watch
	1.47	2.74
	1.44	2.73	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.68)	2.64 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
64.8%

Bernard Tomic
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Dougaz's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Dougaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aziz Dougaz - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 198. Tomic is ranked ATP: 231.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dougaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled ✺
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 ?LWWW
- Bernard Tomic
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Bernard Tomic - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Bernard Tomic - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Bernard Tomic - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL

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