Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.27	3.4
	1.21	3.93
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.21	4.28
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	3.89 ↑ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
76%

Aziz Dougaz
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Martinez Portero's performance.

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Dougaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Martinez Portero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pedro Martinez Portero - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 48. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 196.

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dougaz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Martinez Portero is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW

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