Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Stefan Kozlov

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.16	4.6	Watch
	1.17	4.81	Watch
	1.14	5	Watch
	1.17	4.7	Watch
	1.16	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.33)	4.62 ↑ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
79.7%

Stefan Kozlov
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Augustin Tirante's performance.

Stefan Kozlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefan Kozlov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Augustin Tirante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Kozlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Stefan Kozlov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 117. Kozlov is ranked ATP: 383.

Recent matches Tirante is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kozlov is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tirante is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tirante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Acapulco
23.02.25	Stefan Kozlov - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Stefan Kozlov	Canceled ✺
22.02.25	Duarte Vale - Stefan Kozlov	0:2
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Stefan Kozlov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.25	Jeffrey John Wolf - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.06.21	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Stefan Kozlov	2:0

Upcoming Matches