Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday


	Murphy Cassone		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.26	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.06)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
42.7%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Murphy Cassone - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 223. Tirante is ranked ATP: 117.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Cassone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Tirante to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Elmar Ejupovic	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Raphael Collignon - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Richard Berankis - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

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