Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Dmitry Popko		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.37	Watch
	3.55	1.27	Watch
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.6)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
29.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dmitry Popko's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Dmitry Popko - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popko is ranked ATP: 245. Tirante is ranked ATP: 117.

Recent matches Popko is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tirante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Popko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Terence Atmane - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
19.08.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dmitry Popko	2:1
ATP Challenger
01.12.20	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dmitry Popko	1:2

Dmitry Popko - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide