Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 14, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Aziz Ouakaa		Diogo Marques

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.56	2.33
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	2.3 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Ouakaa
59.7%

Diogo Marques
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Ouakaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Ouakaa's performance.

Diogo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diogo Marques might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Ouakaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diogo Marques than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diogo Marques could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aziz Ouakaa - Diogo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 667. Marques is ranked ATP: 849.

Recent matches Ouakaa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marques is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marques could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ouakaa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Ouakaa
ITF Tournaments
05.04.25	Robert Strombachs - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Pietro Marino - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Aziz Ouakaa	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Lukas Pokorny - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Samuele Seghetti - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Diogo Marques
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Diogo Marques - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Moez Echargui - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Diogo Marques - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Pedro Araujo - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Finn Bass - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWLL

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