Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	Beatriz Haddad Maia		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	3.52	1.35
	3.37	1.36	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.36	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.79)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatriz Haddad Maia
28.5%

Karolina Muchova
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatriz Haddad Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beatriz Haddad Maia's form might have worsened.

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karolina Muchova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.9%	0%	84.1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: Karolina Muchova will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 21. Muchova is ranked WTA: 52.

Now both players are in good shape.

Muchova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muchova will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Muchova to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Haddad Maia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA US Open
02.09.24	Caroline Wozniacki - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Elina Avanesyan	2:1 ✺
WTA Cleveland
24.08.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Karolina Muchova
WTA US Open
02.09.24	Karolina Muchova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Karolina Muchova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1
WTA Ostrava
05.10.22	Karolina Muchova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0

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