Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Karolina Muchova		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.6	2.48
	1.66	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.61	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.36 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
59.5%

Jasmine Paolini
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karolina Muchova's performance.

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karolina Muchova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49%	0%	51%

Karolina Muchova - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 25 - 49%). Paolini will win (votes: 26 - 51%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 37.3% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 52. Paolini is ranked WTA: 5.

Muchova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paolini is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muchova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA US Open
31.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA US Open
31.08.24	Yulia Putintseva - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Karolina Pliskova - Jasmine Paolini	Pliskova Ka. retired ✺
27.08.24	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.24	Mirra Andreeva - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
15.08.24	Anastasia Potapova - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
02.02.21	Jasmine Paolini - Karolina Muchova	1:2
WTA US Open
23.08.18	Karolina Muchova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
ITF Tournaments
12.06.18	Jasmine Paolini - Karolina Muchova	0:2

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