Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Florent Bax

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.23	3.83	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.27	3.41	Watch
	1.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.51)	3.46 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
73%

Florent Bax
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beibit Zhukayev's performance.

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florent Bax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florent Bax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beibit Zhukayev - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 265. Bax is ranked ATP: 288.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Zhukayev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Florent Bax - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Fajing Sun - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Aryan Shah - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Mika Brunold - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hyeon Chung - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.12.25	Florent Bax - Chen Dong	Bax F. retired ✺
29.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLW?L

Beibit Zhukayev - Florent Bax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide