Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Umag 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrea Pellegrino		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

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Andrea Pellegrino
50.2%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 571.

Pellegrino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Llamas Ruiz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Llamas Ruiz