Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Quinn Vandecasteele

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18
	1.63	2.35
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	2.22 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
57.9%

Quinn Vandecasteele
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Beibit Zhukayev - Quinn Vandecasteele Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vandecasteele will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhukayev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 302. Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 506.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vandecasteele may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Michael Mmoh	Canceled ✺
17.03.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Masamichi Imamura	Canceled ✺
19.02.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dane Sweeny - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?L?LW
- Quinn Vandecasteele
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Max Wiskandt - Quinn Vandecasteele	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Federico Zeballos - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Gavin Young - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Beibit Zhukayev - Quinn Vandecasteele: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide