Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Quinn Vandecasteele		Miguel Tobon

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Quinn Vandecasteele
59.3%

Miguel Tobon
40.7%

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

62.8%

37.2%

Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quinn Vandecasteele's form might have worsened.

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 509. Tobon is ranked ATP: 607.

Vandecasteele is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tobon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vandecasteele might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinn Vandecasteele
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Gavin Young - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Taha Baadi	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Daniel Kliebhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Guillermo Tunas - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	John Hallquist Lithen - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide