Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuhan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Karolina Muchova		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.90	1.85
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.92	1.92	Watch
	1.99	1.88
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.6)	1.89 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
49.7%

Diana Shnaider
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Muchova's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Karolina Muchova - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Shnaider will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 7., and Shnaider is ranked WTA: 13..

Muchova is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Shnaider has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Muchova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Muchova has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Karolina Muchova - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.18%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Diana Shnaider - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Wuhan
14.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
08.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Wuhan
14.10.26	Yulia Putintseva - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Katie Boulter - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
04.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Janice Tjen - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.26	Taylor Townsend - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
15.10.25	Karolina Muchova - Diana Shnaider	1:2

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