Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Maya Joint		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.42	1.35
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	3.28	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.81)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maya Joint
29.5%

Karolina Muchova
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maya Joint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maya Joint than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Maya Joint - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: Karolina Muchova will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karolina Muchova will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Joint is ranked WTA: 32. Muchova is ranked WTA: 21.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Muchova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Muchova is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maya Joint
WTA Tokyo
20.10.25	Viktorija Golubic - Maya Joint	1:2 ✺
WTA Ningbo
10.10.25	Maya Joint - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Maya Joint - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Lin Zhu - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
29.09.25	Maya Joint - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Tokyo
20.10.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova	Vondrousova M. retired ✺
WTA Ningbo
15.10.25	Karolina Muchova - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Magdalena Frech - Karolina Muchova	Muchova K. retired ✺
07.10.25	Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?LW?W

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