Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Belinda Bencic		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.18	4.55	Watch
	1.24	4.57
	1.21	4.42	Watch
	1.2	4.5
	1.21	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.51 ↑ (3.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belinda Bencic
78.9%

Petra Marcinko
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belinda Bencic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belinda Bencic's performance.

Petra Marcinko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petra Marcinko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belinda Bencic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petra Marcinko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Belinda Bencic - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bencic is ranked WTA: 12. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 74.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Marcinko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bencic is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belinda Bencic
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Marie Bouzkova	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Sara Bejlek - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Dayana Yastremska - Belinda Bencic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L?WWW
- Petra Marcinko
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Petra Marcinko - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Petra Marcinko - Sinja Kraus	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Greetje Minnen - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

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