Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Petra Marcinko		Sinja Kraus

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.85	2.04
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
53%

Sinja Kraus
47%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sinja Kraus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petra Marcinko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sinja Kraus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sinja Kraus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Petra Marcinko - Sinja Kraus Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Marcinko will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kraus will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kraus: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sinja Kraus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 80. Kraus is ranked WTA: 120.

Marcinko is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kraus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kraus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Marcinko will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Petra Marcinko - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Sinja Kraus - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Greetje Minnen - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
10.04.26	Petra Marcinko - Rebecca Munk Mortensen	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Petra Marcinko - Andre Lukosiute	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Sinja Kraus
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Sinja Kraus	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Sinja Kraus - Oksana Selekhmeteva	2:1 ✺
WTA Linz
07.04.26	Sinja Kraus - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Alycia Parks - Sinja Kraus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL

Petra Marcinko - Sinja Kraus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide