Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	06:30	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	06:30	beIN Sports 3
Germany	06:30	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	07:30	Nova Sports 6
Italy	06:30	Super Tennis
United Kingdom	05:30	Sky Sports Tennis


	Belinda Bencic		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.41	3.12
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.5	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belinda Bencic
66.5%

Sofia Kenin
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belinda Bencic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sofia Kenin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Belinda Bencic - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bencic: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sofia Kenin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bencic is ranked WTA: 13. Kenin is ranked WTA: 25.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Bencic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bencic is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bencic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belinda Bencic
WTA Tokyo
24.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	Canceled ✺
WTA Ningbo
17.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW?LW
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Tokyo
24.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Wakana Sonobe - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Sofia Kenin - Anna Kalinskaya	Canceled ✺
WTA Ningbo
13.10.25	Sofia Kenin - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Belinda Bencic	2:0
WTA Mallorca
23.06.19	Belinda Bencic - Sofia Kenin	1:2

Belinda Bencic - Sofia Kenin