Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Moyuka Uchijima		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.86
	2.78	1.44	Watch
	2.28	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moyuka Uchijima
42.2%

Sofia Kenin
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moyuka Uchijima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Moyuka Uchijima - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Uchijima will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Kenin will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchijima (votes: 3 - 60%). Kenin (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchijima is ranked WTA: 81. Kenin is ranked WTA: 26.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Uchijima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kenin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchijima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Tokyo
19.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Linda Noskova	Canceled ✺
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Sorana Cirstea - Moyuka Uchijima	2:1 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 ?LLWW
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Tokyo
19.10.25	Sofia Kenin - Anna Kalinskaya	Canceled ✺
WTA Ningbo
13.10.25	Sofia Kenin - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Sofia Kenin - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Anastasia Zakharova - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
28.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
28.06.23	Moyuka Uchijima - Sofia Kenin	0:2

Moyuka Uchijima - Sofia Kenin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide