Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Darwin 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Belle Thompson		Yui Chikaraishi

	1	2
	1.48	2.52
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.45	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)	2.48 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belle Thompson
62.6%

Yui Chikaraishi
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belle Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belle Thompson's performance.

Yui Chikaraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yui Chikaraishi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belle Thompson than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belle Thompson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yui Chikaraishi than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yui Chikaraishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belle Thompson - Yui Chikaraishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Thompson is ranked WTA: 822. Chikaraishi is ranked WTA: 1067.

Thompson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chikaraishi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Thompson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Thompson could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belle Thompson
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Laquisa Khan - Belle Thompson	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Yuna Ohashi - Belle Thompson	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Hayu Kinoshita - Belle Thompson	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Belle Thompson - Laquisa Khan	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Belle Thompson - Gurmanat Kaur Sandhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW
- Yui Chikaraishi
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Shiho Akita - Yui Chikaraishi	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Miyu Nakashima - Yui Chikaraishi	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Cheuk Ying Shek	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Meiqi Guo	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Georgia Kalamaris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Belle Thompson - Yui Chikaraishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide